Biological Age Acceleration Predicts Functional Decline and Surgical Risk in Knee Arthroplasty.

J Arthroplasty · Sep 15 2026 · Recent

Watanabe N, Yagi M, Naito Y, Ohtani S, Fujita R

Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, International University of Health and Welfare, Chiba Japan

Adult Reconstruction

SUMMARY — THE REDUCTIONIn 173 TKA patients, biological age acceleration from routine blood biomarkers predicted slower gait and perioperative complications better than chronological age, which was unassociated with complications, and may aid individualized risk stratification.
Abstract, as published

BACKGROUND: Chronological age is widely used in perioperative risk assessment, but does not adequately capture interindividual differences in physiological reserve. Recently developed phenotypic biological aging measures quantify biological age using clinical biomarkers and may better reflect frailty and surgical vulnerability. This study compared the predictive value of biological and chronological age for functional and perioperative outcomes in patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA).

METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 173 consecutive adults who had osteoarthritis undergoing TKA. Biological aging metrics were calculated from nine standard blood biomarkers using a previously validated algorithm. Outcomes included total and limb skeletal muscle mass, 10-meter gait time, and overall and symptomatic perioperative complications. Associations were assessed using multivariable linear and logistic regression models adjusted for sex, body mass index (BMI), body weight, frailty status using the 11-item modified frailty index, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension. Predictive performance was evaluated using adjusted R2 and area under the curve (AUC) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS: Biological age acceleration was associated with slower gait time (β = 0.48 seconds/year, P < 0.001; R2 = 0.19), outperforming chronological age (R2 = 0.05). In adjusted logistic regressions, biological age acceleration was associated with increased odds of overall perioperative complications, including asymptomatic deep vein thrombosis detected by routine ultrasonography (odds ratio [OR] = 1.20 per one-year increase, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10 to 1.30, P < 0.001), with good discrimination (AUC = 0.77). This association persisted for symptomatic complications (OR = 1.11, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.19, P = 0.003). Chronological age was not associated with complications (P = 0.34). Daily alcohol consumption and smoking were modifiable correlates of accelerated biological aging.

CONCLUSION: Biological aging metrics better reflected perioperative vulnerability than chronological age in patients undergoing TKA and may support individualized risk stratification and lifestyle optimization.

Featured in the 2026-10-02 issue.

← Total Knee ArthroplastyToward Standardized Reporting in Non-Traumatic Osteonecrosis … →

The Reduction is a free email digest of newly published orthopaedic literature — a handful of new papers in the subspecialties you choose, each summarized like this one. Subscribe free or browse the archive.